How Everyday Decisions Break Down When People Misread Probability: Dr. Patel's Test Result

https://pressbooks.cuny.edu/inspire/part/probability-choice-and-learning-what-gambling-logic-reveals-about-how-we-think/

When a Hospital Interprets a Test Result: Dr. Patel's Dilemma Dr. Patel had just started his morning clinic when a patient named Anna appeared, anxious after a screening test. The lab report was blunt: "Test positive. Test accuracy 98%